'Pangaea Ultima' (also 'Neopangaea', or 'Pangaea II') is a possible future
supercontinent configuration, which, consistent with the
supercontinent cycle, may occur within the next 250 million years. This potential configuration, hypothesized by
Christopher Scotese, earned its name from its similarity to the previous
Pangaea supercontinent.
[1]
Supercontinents describe the merger of all, or nearly all, of the
Earth's landmass into a single continuous
continent. In the Pangaea Ultima scenario,
subduction at the western
Atlantic, east of the
Americas (signs of it can be seen today, the
Puerto Rico Trench), leads to the subduction of the
Atlantic mid-ocean ridge followed by subduction destroying the
Atlantic oceanic basin, causing the
Atlantic Ocean to close, bringing the
Americas back together with
Africa and
Europe. As with most supercontinents, the interior of Pangaea Ultima would probably become a semi-arid desert prone to temperature extremes.
[2]
Formation
The Atlantic and Indian Oceans will continue to widen until new
subduction zones bring the continents back together, forming a Future Pangea. It seems that most continents and microcontinents will collide to Eurasia, such as
India, and in the future,
Africa and
Australia, just as they did when most continents collided to
Laurentia.
Fifty million years into the future looks slightly strange.
North America will rotate slightly counterclockwise (Alaska would then be near the subtropical latitudes) and
Eurasia would rotate clockwise bringing
Great Britain closer to the North Pole and
Siberia southward towards warm,
subtropical latitudes. Africa will collide with Europe and Arabia, closing the
Mediterranean Sea (completely closing the
Tethys Ocean (or Neotethys)) and the
Red Sea. A long mountain range will extend from
Spain, across Southern
Europe (the Mediterranean Mountain Range), through the Mideast and into
Asia. Some will even have peaks higher than
Mt. Everest. Similarly,
Australia will beach itself on the doorstep of Southeast Asia and a new subduction zone will encircle Australia and extend westward across the Central Indian Ocean. Meanwhile,
Baja California will have already collided with Alaska, forming new mountain ranges between them.
One of the most important changes in the geography of the future, is the beginning of
subduction along the eastern coasts of North America and South America. The Atlantic Ocean will have widened, even though the
Puerto Rican Trench and
Scotia Arc (on the eastern edges of
Caribbean plate and
Scotia plate, respectively) may propagate northward and southward along the east coast of North and South America. In time, this new westward-dipping subduction zone will consume the Atlantic Ocean.
About 100 million years from now, the
Atlantic ocean will stop widening and begin to shrink because a bit of the Atlantic Ocean mid-ridge will have been subducted. A mid-ocean ridge between
South America and
Africa will probably be subducted first.
In 150 million years, the
Atlantic Ocean will have narrowed as a result of subduction beneath the Americas. The
Indian Ocean will also be smaller due to northward subduction of oceanic crust into the Central Indian trench. Antarctica will collide along the southern margin of Australia because the
Central Indian Trench and the
South Australian Trench pushes
Antarctica northward to Australia, which at this point has collided with
Southeast Asia. The
Mid-Atlantic Ridge, the last vestige of sea floor spreading in the Atlantic Ocean, will have been nearly subducted beneath eastern North America. The rock layers that will contain the remains of New York City, Boston and Washington will lie atop high mountain ranges.
When the last bit of the Mid-Atlantic spreading ridge is subducted beneath the Americas, the Atlantic Ocean will rapidly close and a new Pangea will form.
At 250 million years in the future, the Atlantic and Indian oceans will have closed.
North America will have already collided with
Africa, but be in a more southerly position than where it rifted.
South America will be wrapped around the southern tip of Africa, with
Patagonia in contact with Indonesia, enclosing a remnant of the Indian Ocean (called the Indo-Atlantic Ocean).
Antarctica will be once again at the South Pole and the
Pacific will have grown wider, encircling half the
Earth.
The Breakup and the Future
The breakup of Pangaea Ultima may occur more than 300 million years into the future, and it will probably reform the
Atlantic, but it is unknown what the Earth will look like when Pangaea Ultima breaks. The Pangaea Ultima will probably break into two or more continents like its predecessors. More rifting will continue, and the fragmented pieces may collide with each other, creating a new supercontinent. The
supercontinent cycle will continue well into the future until the
Sun expands into a
red giant phase, which will possibly consume the Earth and the other
inner planets, thereby ending the cycle once and for all, more than 5 billion years from now. Even if the Earth escapes the red giant phase, billions of years from now, its
core and the
mantle will probably cool, stopping the cycle and turning the Earth into a cold world orbiting what's left of the dead Sun, a shining,
white dwarf.
It is by no means certain that this configuration will actually occur. An alternative scenario, in which the Atlantic continues to grow and the
Pacific is largely consumed by the collision between the Americas and
Asia, is referred to as the
Amasia supercontinent.
Appearances in culture
★ The
National Geographic series ''
Naked Science'': Colliding Continents, mentions the formation of Pangaea Ultima.
★ In the
Michael Swanwick novel ''
Bones of the Earth'', a version of this supercontinent - called Ultima Pangea - is depicted in the fictitious Telezoic Era roughly 500 million years into the future. It is the home of the Unchanging, a new dominant
avian species.
★ In the TV series ''
The Future Is Wild'', it shows that the Earth's continents will all reunite into a supercontinent in 200 million years.
★ Chris Roberson's novel ''
Paragaea'' is set on a world whose one continent is a version of Pangea Ultima.
See also
★
Pangaea
★
Amasia
References
1. Pangea Ultima will form 250 million years in the Future
2. Mars, , Jeffrey S., Kargel, Springer, , ISBN 1-85233-568-8
External links
★ A
map of ''Pangaea Ultima'' according to Professor Scotese