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MISERY INDEX (ECONOMICS)

:''For the American death metal band, see Misery Index (band).
The 'Misery Index' is an economic indicator, created by economist Arthur Okun, and found by adding the unemployment rate to the inflation rate. It is assumed that both a higher rate of unemployment and a worsening of inflation both create economic and social costs for a country.The US Misery Index It is often incorrectly attributed to Chicago economist Robert Barro in the 1970s, due to the ''Barro Misery Index'' that additionally includes GDP and the bank rate.[1]

Contents
U.S. Misery Index
Misery Index - Era by U.S president
Misery & Crime
Data Sources
Related Indexes
References
External links

U.S. Misery Index


Misery Index - Era by U.S president

'Index = Unemployment rate + Inflation rate'
Rank President Time Period Index Average Low High
5 Harry Truman 1948 - 1952 7.87 1952-12 = 3.451948-01 = 13.63
1 Dwight Eisenhower 1953 - 1960 6.26 1953-07 = 2.971958-04 = 10.98
3 John F. Kennedy 1961 - 1962 7.27 1962-07 = 6.401961-07 = 8.38
2 Lyndon Johnson 1963 - 1968 6.78 1965-11 = 5.701968-07 = 8.19
7 Richard Nixon 1969 - 1973 9.98 1968-01 = 7.801973-12 = 13.61
10 Gerald Ford 1974 - 1976 15.93 1976-12 = 12.661975-01 = 19.90
11 Jimmy Carter 1977 - 1980 16.27 1978-04 = 12.60 1980-06 = 21.98
9 Ronald Reagan 1981 - 1988 12.19 1986-12 = 7.701981-09 = 19.33
8 George H.W. Bush 1989 - 1992 10.68 1989-09 = 9.641990-11 = 12.47
4 William J. Clinton 1993 - 2000 7.80 1998-04 = 5.741993-01 = 10.56
6 George W. Bush 2001 - 2005 7.98 2002-01 = 6.642005-09 = 9.97

Misery & Crime


Some economists posit that the components of the Misery Index drive the crime rate to a degree. They have found that the Misery Index and the Crime Rate correlate strongly and that the Misery Index seems to lead the Crime Rate by a year or so.

Data Sources


The data for the 'misery index' is obtained from unemployment data obtained from the U.S. Department of Labor and Inflation Rate from Financial Trend Forecaster®. The exact methods used for measuring unemployment and inflation have changed over time.

Related Indexes


The Despondency Index, developed by the Bureau of Inverse Technology, correlates, in real time, the suicide rate measured with the Suicide Box at the Golden Gate Bridge, to the Dow Jones Industrial Average.

References


1. "REAGAN VS. CLINTON: WHO’S THE ECONOMIC CHAMP?", Robert J. Barro

External links



The current and historical Misery Index

PBS.org Teachers Guide: Jimmy Carter and the Misery Index

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