'Presidential and parliamentary elections' will be held in
Kenya in December 2007.
[1]
Presidential Candidates
Incumbent president Mwai Kibaki declared on January 26, 2007 his intentions of running for re-election.
[1] So far three major parties have stated that he will be their presidential candidate of choice in the coming general election. The parties are
DP,
NARC and
Narc-Kenya.
The
ODM-Kenya coalition is expected to field the strongest challenger for Kibaki. The main parties affiliated to ODM-Kenya are
LDP and
KANU. At the 2002 elections LDP was part of the NARC movement backing Kibaki, but were dismissed from the cabinet after
2005 constitutional referendum. Kanu, on the other hand is a former ruling party, but the former president Daniel Arap Moi is among its fraction which is opposing the ODM-Kenya coalition.
ODM split in two in August 2007, with one faction (ODM-Kenya) led by
Kalonzo Musyoka, while others joined the original ODM. KANU has left the coalition; it has not yet decided whether it will field a presidential candidate. Former president Daniel Arap Moi announced his support for the re-election of Kibaki, his former political enemy, in late August.
[2]
Several ODM members vied for presidency, including Kalonzo Musyoka,
Raila Odinga,
Uhuru Kenyatta,
William Ruto,
Najib Balala,
Musalia Mudavadi and
Joseph Nyagah.
[3] Following the August 2007 split, the ODM-K elected Musyoka as its candidate on
August 31[4][5] and the ODM elected Odinga as its candidate on
September 1.
[6]
Opinion polls
| Poll date | Kibaki | Musyoka | Odinga | Mudavadi | Ruto | Kenyatta |
|---|
| October 2006 [7] | 41% | 20% | | | |
| December 2006 [8] | 42% | 20% | 14% | | | |
| March 2007 [9] | 51% | 14% | 17% | | | |
| April 2007 [10] | 44.3% | 15.3% | 18.7% | | | |
| June 2007 [11] | 45% | 14% | 28% | 4% | 3% | 4% |
| July 2007 [12] | 45% | 11% | 25% | 3% | 2% | 2% |
| August 2007 [13] | 42% | 11% | 25% | 8% | 6% | 1% |
| August 2007 [14] | 47% | 13% | 36% | 1% | | 1% |
The June 2007 poll also featured a section on a head-to-head poll with Kibaki against each of the ODM candidates. Both Kalonzo and Raila scored 45%, indicating a dead-tie with Kibaki. The rest of the candidates scored as follows against Kibaki: Najib Balala: 43%, William Ruto: 39%, Uhuru Kenyatta: 38%.
11
Election Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
|---|
| ODM-K | Kalonzo Musyoka | -- | -- |
| ??? | Mwai Kibaki | -- | -- |
| ODM | Raila Odinga | -- | -- |
| KANU | ??? | -- | -- |
Provincial Results
| Province | Kibaki | % | Raila | % | Musyoka | % | Uhuru | % |
|---|
| Central | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Coast | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Eastern | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Nairobi | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| North Eastern | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Nyanza | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Rift Valley | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Western | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
See also
★
2007 in Kenya
★
National Assembly of Kenya elections, 2007
References
1. Kibaki declares he is ready for a second presidential term ''The Standard''
2. "Moi throws weight behind Kibaki", BBC News, August 28, 2007.
3. "It’s make or break as ODM leaders start forum to decide on candidate", ''Daily Nation'', January 11, 2007.
4. Malcolm Webb, "Kenya's Opposition Chooses Presidential Candidate", VOA News, August 31, 2007.
5. Eric Shimoli and Dave Opiyo, "Kenya: Kalonzo Picked to Hoist ODM-K Flag", ''The Nation'' (allAfrica.com), September 1, 2007.
6. "Kenya: It's Raila for President", ''East Africa Standard'' (allAfrica.com), September 1, 2007.
7. Survey shows Kibaki’s popularity on the rise ''The Standard'' (Poll by Steadman International)
8. Kibaki leads again in poll ''The Standard'' (Poll by Steadman International)
9. Raila finally Hummers Kalonzo ''The Standard'' (Poll by Steadman International)
10. It’s Kibaki-Raila battle ''The Standard'' (Poll by International Republican Institute)
11. Why Kibaki will win polls ''The Standard'' (Poll by Research and Marketing Services (RMS))
12. Kalonzo drops, Raila shoots up, Kibaki holds on ''The Standard'' (Poll by Steadman International)
13. Raila preferred ODM flagbearer, poll shows ''The Standard'', August 8, 2007 (Poll by Infotrak Research and Consulting and Harris Interactive Global)
14. Kibaki, Raila ahead of pack in new opinion poll ''The Standard'', August 30, 2007 (Poll by Steadman International)
External links
★
Electoral Commission of Kenya
★
Kenyapolls.com - unofficial website
★
Exhaustive website
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