(Redirected from Futuristic)
In a linear conception of
time, the 'future' is the portion of the time line that has yet to occur, i.e. the place in
space-time where lie all events that still will or may occur. In this sense the future is opposed to the
past (the set of moments and events that have already occurred) and the
present (the set of events that are occurring now).
The future has always had a special place in
philosophy and, in general, in the
human mind. The future holds such a place because human beings want a
forecast of events that will occur. The
evolution of the human
brain is in great part an evolution in cognitive abilities necessary to forecast the future, i.e. abstract
imagination,
logic and
induction.
Imagination permits us to “see†(i.e. predict) a plausible model of a given situation without ''observing'' it, therefore, allowing one to assess risks.
Logical reasoning allows one to predict consequences of actions and situations and therefore gives useful information about future events. Induction permits the association of a
cause with consequences, a fundamental notion for every forecast of the future.
Despite these
cognitive instruments for the comprehension of future, the
stochastic nature of many natural and social processes has made complete forecasting the future impossible. Despite this, it has been a long-sought aim of many people and cultures throughout the ages.
Figures claiming to see into the future, such as
prophets and
diviners, have enjoyed great consideration and even social importance in many
past and
present communities. Whole pseudo-sciences, such as
astrology and
cheiromancy, were constructed with the aim of forecasting the future. Much of
physical science too can be read as an attempt to make quantitative and objective predictions about events.
Science tells us the minimum amount of time that can be measured is called
Planck Time. This is around 10^-43 seconds
[1]. Below that length of time there cannot be said to have a future or
past.
The Future also forms a prominent subject for
religion. Religions often offer prophecies about life after
death and also about the
end of the world.
The subjects and methods of ''futures studies'' include possible, probable, and desirable variations or alternative
transformations of the present, both social and “natural†(i.e. independent of human impact).
Regarding the existential status of the future, there are multiple hypotheses.
Aristotle, for example, having been asked ‘will there be a sea-battle tomorrow?’ is said to have responded ‘either there will or there won’t be a sea-battle tomorrow’: the implication is that statements about the content of future events may be understood as neither true nor false. Thus, it is important to understand that when we speak in terms of the reality of events, there are strong arguments to be made for the idea that the kind of reality being referred to in discussions of the future is conceptually different from that referred to in discussions of the present (not to mention the
past). In the
Critique of Pure Reason,
Kant predicates some of his arguments about
causality on the notion that two events which do not occur simultaneously cannot both be being perceived at any instant in time. It is possible, however, that our conception of the ‘instant’ is inconsistent in a manner analogous to that in which it is impossible to take a
derivative in
calculus over an interval of size zero (a ‘
point’); rather, derivatives are measured over intervals said to be ''approaching'' zero. If this is the case, then our identification of what we commonly call an instant is actually the perception of the passage of a very small amount of time, an amount perhaps infinitesimal or no smaller than one unit of Planck Time, in which case, instead of perceiving non-simultaneous events being ‘impossible,’ it is rather unavoidable, and what we call 'present' is actually the experience of transition from past to future. But even if the notion of ‘instant’ is inconsistent it may still be possible to formulate accurate statements, such as Kant’s, about what its nature would be according to its definition if it were a coherent concept.
It is possible, and normative for ‘everyday’ discourse, to assume, even though it may never be either true or false to speak about future events in terms of what they contain or will contain, that there will be future events. On the other hand, however, since the future is precisely that about which it is always impossible to speak
apodeictic truths, it is possible to argue that the very existence of some future at all following the present we always perceive is
hypothetical or
problematic on the grounds that, since no idea about the
content of the future is
epistemologically true (although it is both reasonable and
pragmatically important to refine the science of prediction), neither can it be said that the
form of the future is an idea which corresponds to a reality (hypothetical or problematic existence being associated with non-existence). It could be claimed that there can be such a thing as a form necessarily devoid of content, but it may be essential to the concept of form that it cannot be understood outside of the form-content
binary. Opposed to these notions, however, are not only religious
messianisms but what contemporary
literary theory or
critical theory has come to refer to as a
secular messianism of the ‘à venir’ (‘to-come’): this notion holds that
ethical behavior is an unconditional
imperative, that if ‘truths’ are defined as corresponding to ‘
objective reality’ then objective reality is understood not in terms of what exists but what set of
epistemes conditions
efficient ethical behavior, and that one of the epistemes in that set is the idea that the future as a space where events happen has not only the character of being existent but that of an intrinsic potential for improvement of the
quality of life (alongside a palpable risk of
devolution which must not be ignored).
It is also significant that the future is generally understood, insofar as we form rational conceptions of what it may contain, primarily in terms of the past. At the same time, the structure of the future is fundamentally different from that of the past, so a thoroughly accurate understanding of what the future holds must take into account the possibility of a radical and unimaginable difference between the future and the past.
See also
★
Futures studies
References
1. http://www.physlink.com/Education/AskExperts/ae281.cfm