'Coincidence' is the noteworthy alignment of two or more events or circumstances without obvious causal connection. The word is derived from the Latin ''co-'' ("in", "with", "together") and ''incidere'' ("to fall on").
The
index of coincidence can be used to analyze whether two events are related. A coincidence does not prove a relationship, but related events may be expected to have a higher index of coincidence. From a statistical perspective, coincidences are inevitable and often less remarkable than they may appear intuitively. The odds that two people share a birthday, for example, reaches 50% with a group of just 22
[1] (see the
Birthday paradox).
In ''
The Psychology of the Psychic'' the author
David Marks describes four distinct meanings of the term "coincidence". Marks suggests that coincidences occur because of "odd matches" when two events A and B are perceived to contain a similarity of some kind. For example, dreaming of a plane crash (event A) would be matched by seeing a news report of a plane crash on the next morning (event B).
In
optics, 'coincidence' is also used to refer to two or more
incident beams of
light that strike the same point at the same time.
Remarkable coincidences sometimes lead to claims of
psychic phenomena or
conspiracy theories. Some researchers (''see''
Charles Fort and
Carl Jung) have compiled thousands of accounts of coincidences and other supposedly
anomalous phenomena (see
synchronicity). The perception of coincidences often leads to occult or paranormal claims. It may also lead to a belief in
fatalism, that events are pre-destined to happen in the exact manner of a prior plan or formula. This lends certain events an aura of inevitability.
See also
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Mathematical coincidence
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Coincidence theory
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Bible code
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Littlewood's law
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Post hoc ergo propter hoc
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Anomalous phenomenon
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Forteana
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Déjà vu
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Extra-sensory perception
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Randomness
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Reality shift
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The Roots of Coincidence
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Synchronicity
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Serendipity
References
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Jung, Carl G.: Synchronicity: An Acausal Connecting Principle. Princeton, N.J.: Princeton UP, 1973.
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Arthur Koestler: The Roots of Coincidence
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David Marks:
The Psychology of the Psychic (pages 227-246)
External links
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Historic Coincidence A collection of unusual coincidences in History
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Coincidences: Learning from Synchronicity
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Unlikely Events and Coincidence (
ASTOP)
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The Power of Coincidence by David G. Myers (
Skeptic)
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The Power of Coincidence by Jill Neimark (
Psychology Today)
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The Coincidence Theorist's Guide to 9/11
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Orwell Today Website